Fox Hollow, FL – Remember, as long as Trump can win Florida and either Ohio or Pennsylvania then he wins the election, and if Clinton can win two of the three then she wins. This entire race will come down to the three battleground states of Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania unless of course a traditional Red state flips to Blue, or likewise a traditional Blue state flips to Red.
As of today, Trump is leading every single poll coming out of Florida, is tied with Hillary in Ohio, and is trailing Hillary in PA by 3% which is well within the margin of error. If you remember last week, Trump was narrowly beating Hillary in Florida 43% to 42% and just a week later, Trump is now up an additional 3% over Hillary and is projected to gain an additional 3% next week. If Trump can gain an additional 3% by next week then he will virtually have Florida in his back pocket at 49%.
But wait there’s more!
Let’s not forget the State of California – which according to the LA Times Poll – shows Trump well ahead of Clinton 46% to 42% as of today. Now, none of the news outlets have reported on this yet, but if Trump can steal California out from under Hillary, and maintain his control on Florida then he might not need Ohio or PA at all.
Ohio has been a toss up from day one with Trump and Hillary exchanging small 3% leads in this state. Which again is well within the 3% margin of error, which is why most of the scientific polls just consider Ohio to be tied. As far as PA goes, Hillary has always had a lead in PA but this lead is slipping as of late. Back in April, Hillary was up in PA by as much as 10%, and today Hillary’s lead is down to just 6%, with the margin of error being 8% in PA.
So in scientific terms, PA should be considered tied until either Clinton or Trump can mount a lead greater than the 8% margin of error. Just for the record, the margin of error in FL is only 3%, so we can safely say that Trump is winning Florida right now.
Kevin Fett... The angry, bible clinging, gun toting, Harley riding, hockey playing, bacon eating, bearded blogger that Obama warned you about!